As of June 30, 2026, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing ADR (TSM) is trading at $464.35. BlackOwl's AI analysis indicates a neutral outlook with 68% confidence and a price target of $485.00.
TSM
$464.35 neutralTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing ADR
TSM exhibits a neutral medium-term outlook with consolidation likely between support at 458.32 and resistance at 491.05. The 14-day EMA at 435.44 provides solid support, while MACD remains constructive with positive histogram. Price target of 485.00 represents a 3.7% recovery toward resistance, achievable within the 2-week timeframe. Confidence of 68% reflects balanced technical setup but uncertainty around sector dynamics and macro conditions. Recovery from current oversold levels appears probable but faces resistance at key technical levels.
Trend
Confidence
68%
Price Target
$485.00
+4.4% from current
Timeframe
2 Weeks
Until 7/7/2026
Key Insights
- 14-day EMA at 435.44 provides dynamic support with uptrend intact
- MACD remains positive with histogram at 2.45, supporting recovery potential
- Price consolidating between 458.32 support and 491.05 resistance
- Two-week trend shows recovery from oversold conditions likely
Risk Factors
- Semiconductor sector volatility could impact medium-term direction
- Resistance at 491.05 may prove difficult to break decisively
- Macro economic concerns could trigger broader tech selloff
- Elevated volatility (25%) creates uncertainty for trend continuation
Actionable Items
- Build positions on dips toward 458.32 support level
- Target resistance breakout above 491.05 for continuation
- Monitor 14-day EMA (435.44) for trend confirmation
- Watch for consolidation pattern formation over next 2 weeks
News Sentiment
News Count
0
Impact Level
low
Sentiment
Neutral
RSI (14)
60.4
MACD
10.516
EMA
$437.00
Price above EMA
SMA
$437.20
Price above SMA
Historical Comparison
Key Statistics
Frequently Asked Questions
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